Research Interests
Stochastic models in
Biostatistics, Demography, Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases, and
Genetics and Bioinformatics, methods of statistical inference and data analysis, branching
processes, renewal theory, Markov chains and processes, semi-Markov
processes, software engineering, computer intensive methods, Monte Carlo
simulation.
Books
1.
Multi-Type Branching Processes-Theory and Application, (1971) American
Elsevier Publishing Company, Inc., New York, 300 pages, 1971.
2.
Stochastic Processes in Demography and Their Computer
Implementation, (1985) Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heideberg, New York, 400
pages, 1985.
3. Stochastic Processes in
Epidemiology - HIV/AIDS and Other Infectious Diseases.
(2000) World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore., 739 pages.
In
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Recent Publications
AIDS
Incidence and Income in Philadelphia. Journal of Acquired
Immune Deficiency Syndromes 5:1105-1110, 1992 (with Daniel Fife).
AIDS
Prevalence by Income Group in Philadelphia. Journal of Acquired
Immune Deficiency Syndromes 5: 1111-1115, 1992 (with Daniel Fife).
Some
Laws of Mortality: How Well Do They Fit? Human Biology 65:
445-461, 1993 (with Timothy Gage).
A Stochastic Model of State Transitions in an Air Space
Management System. Journal of Operations Research 42: 262-273,
1994 (with E.I. Ringel).
On
the Formulation and Computer Implementation of an Age-Dependent Two-Sex
Demographic Model. Mathematical Biosciences 118: 211-243,
1993 (with M.A. Salzburg).
On
Some Formulas in a Partnership Model From The Perspective of a Semi-Markov
Process. Journal of Mathematical Biology 32: 161-169, 1994
(with K. Dietz).
An Extension of the Galton-Watson Process to a Two-Sex
Density Dependent Genetic Model. Proceedings of the First World
Conference on Branching Processes. Edited by C. Heyde, Springer
Lecture Notes in Statistics. 99:152-168, 1995.
Threshold Parameters for Stochastic Heterosexual
Partnership Models of HIV/AIDS Formulated within Multitype
CMJ-Processes. Proceedings of the Fourth International Conferences
on Mathematical Population Dynamics. Advances in Mathematical Population
Dynamics - Molecules, Cells and Man. Editors, O. Arino, D. Axelrod,
and M. Kimmel, Series in Mathematical Biology and Medicine, World
Scientific, Singapore, New Jersey, London, Hong Kong 6:383-405, 1997.
On Fitting a Non-Linear Stochastic Model Accommodating
Heterogeneous Risk Behavior to Public Health on a HIV/AIDS Epidemic,
with C. K. Sleeman. Proceedings of the Fourth International Conferences
on Mathematical Population Dynamics. Advances in Mathematical Population
Dynamics - Molecules, Cells, and Man. Editors, O. Arino, D. Axelrod,
and M. Kimmel, Series in Mathematical Biology and Medicine, World
Scientific, Singapore, New Jersey, London, Hong Kong 6:453-476, 1997.
(with C. K. Sleeman)
Threshold Parameters for a Simple Stochastic partnership
Model of Sexually Transmitted Diseases Formulated as a Two-Type
CMJ-Process. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and
Biology 14: 251-260, 1997.
Threshold
parameters for a simple stochastic partnership model of sexually
transmitted diseases formulated as a two-type CMJ process. IMA
Journal Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology, 14:4, 251-60,
1997 Dec
On Modelling Contact Structures in HIV/AIDS Epidemic in
Heterosexual Populations. To appear in Mathematical and Computer
Modelling, (with C. K. Sleeman).
Semi-Markov Processes. An invited paper in the
Encyclopedia of Biostatistics, Editors-In-Chief: Peter Armitage,
University of Oxford, UK, and Theodore Colton, Boston University, USA,
John Wiley & Sons. 5:4045-51, 1998
A Methodological Study on Fitting a Nonlinear Stochastic
Model of the AIDS Epidemic in Philadelphia. Mathematical and
Computer Modelling 26: 33-51, 1997. (with C. K. Sleeman).
A New Design of Stochastic Partnership Models for
Epidemics of Sexually Transmitted Diseases with Stages.
Mathematical Biosciences 156: 95-122, 1999 (with C. K. Sleeman)
A
Computer Exploration of Some Properties of Non-Linear Stochastic
Partnership Models for Sexually Transmitted Diseases with Stages.
Mathematical Biosciences 156: 123-145, 1999. (with C. K.
Sleeman)
Other Links
Invited Conference Presentations and Report on Prototype of Epidemiological Prediction Engine.
Conferences Presentations - Epidemiological Prediction Engine
Complete List of Publications
Published Research Papers pdf
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